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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
57%
1.76
21%
4.66
22%
4.64
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.8%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
8.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.00
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.16
1.16
Telstar xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawTelstar
1.76
57%
Home win
4.66
21%
Draw
4.64
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.46
Clean Sheet
31%
3.18
13%
7.41
Win to Nil
18%
5.58
3%
34.38
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.5 | 9.8 | 5.7 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.7 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 3.3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.003
λ Away (xG)
1.156
Total xG
3.159
League avg home goals
1.705
League avg away goals
1.460
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.270
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.075
Telstar attack strength
0.737
Telstar defence strength
0.925
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 7