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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
66%
1.52
19%
5.31
15%
6.49
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.3%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
7.9%
Home win
3 – 1
7.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.51
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.69
1.18
Heracles xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
1.52
66%
Home win
5.31
19%
Draw
6.49
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
88%
Over 1.5
1.14
12%
Under 1.5
8.33
71%
Over 2.5
1.41
29%
Under 2.5
3.45
50%
Over 3.5
2.00
50%
Under 3.5
2.00
31%
Over 4.5
3.23
69%
Under 4.5
1.45
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.80
Clean Sheet
31%
3.25
8%
12.35
Win to Nil
20%
4.94
1%
80.17
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 6.3 | 7.4 | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.3 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.6 | 7.8 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 4.1 | 4.9 | 2.9 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.514
λ Away (xG)
1.179
Total xG
3.693
League avg home goals
1.652
League avg away goals
1.384
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.030
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
1.085
Heracles attack strength
0.785
Heracles defence strength
1.479
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 60