🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
58%
1.73
25%
3.98
17%
5.79
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
12.2%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
11.0%
Home win
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.80
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
2.69
0.89
Groningen xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawGroningen
1.73
58%
Home win
3.98
25%
Draw
5.79
17%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
41%
2.44
17%
6.03
Win to Nil
24%
4.23
3%
34.91
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 12.2 | 10.9 | 4.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.0 | 9.8 | 4.4 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.6 | 5.9 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.9 | 2.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.796
λ Away (xG)
0.892
Total xG
2.688
League avg home goals
1.608
League avg away goals
1.329
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
0.863
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.879
Groningen attack strength
0.764
Groningen defence strength
1.294
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 31