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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
AZ Alkmaar Win
54%
1.85
22%
4.46
23%
4.27
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
9.7%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
1 – 0
7.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.00
AZ Alkmaar xG
Total xG
3.25
1.25
Fortuna Sittard xG
AZ AlkmaarDrawFortuna Sittard
1.85
54%
Home win
4.46
22%
Draw
4.27
23%
Away win
Goals Markets
84%
Over 1.5
1.19
16%
Under 1.5
6.25
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
41%
Over 3.5
2.44
59%
Under 3.5
1.69
23%
Over 4.5
4.35
77%
Under 4.5
1.30
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
62%
BTTS Yes
1.61
38%
BTTS No
2.64
Clean Sheet
29%
3.51
14%
7.35
Win to Nil
15%
6.48
3%
31.39
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 9.7 | 6.1 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.995
λ Away (xG)
1.255
Total xG
3.250
League avg home goals
1.670
League avg away goals
1.327
AZ Alkmaar attack strength
1.028
AZ Alkmaar defence strength
0.870
Fortuna Sittard attack strength
1.087
Fortuna Sittard defence strength
1.162
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56