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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 19 Jan 2025

13:30

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

48%

Almere City FC

2.09

24%

Draw

4.25

29%

Heracles

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

3.03

1.29

Heracles xG

48%
24%
29%
Almere City FCDrawHeracles

2.09

48%

Home win

4.25

24%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Almere City FC

3.63

18%

Heracles

5.67

Win to Nil

13%

Almere City FC

7.58

5%

Heracles

19.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 6.3 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.1
1 8.4 10.9 7.0 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 7.3 9.4 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.2 5.5 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.4 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.735
λ Away (xG) 1.290
Total xG 3.025
League avg home goals 1.697
League avg away goals 1.305
Almere City FC attack strength 0.801
Almere City FC defence strength 1.284
Heracles attack strength 0.770
Heracles defence strength 1.276
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 51