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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

17:45

Venue

Yanmar Stadion

Competition

Eredivisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Almere City FC Win

43%

Almere City FC

2.30

24%

Draw

4.12

32%

Heerenveen

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Almere City FC xG

Total xG

2.96

1.35

Heerenveen xG

43%
24%
32%
Almere City FCDrawHeerenveen

2.30

43%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.69

41%

BTTS No

2.45

Clean Sheet

26%

Almere City FC

3.86

20%

Heerenveen

4.97

Win to Nil

11%

Almere City FC

8.89

6%

Heerenveen

15.42

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 7.0 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.4 11.3 7.6 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.1 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.3
3 3.6 4.8 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.604
λ Away (xG) 1.351
Total xG 2.955
League avg home goals 1.702
League avg away goals 1.294
Almere City FC attack strength 0.695
Almere City FC defence strength 1.427
Heerenveen attack strength 0.732
Heerenveen defence strength 1.357
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50