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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
47%
2.11
28%
3.52
24%
4.13
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.5%
Home win
1 – 0
7.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.89
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.23
1.34
Utrecht xG
AjaxDrawUtrecht
2.11
47%
Home win
3.52
28%
Draw
4.13
24%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
63%
Over 2.5
1.59
37%
Under 2.5
2.70
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
66%
BTTS Yes
1.52
34%
BTTS No
2.91
Clean Sheet
26%
3.82
15%
6.62
Win to Nil
12%
8.06
4%
27.34
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.0 | 5.3 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 10.0 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 6.3 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.890
λ Away (xG)
1.340
Total xG
3.230
League avg home goals
1.721
League avg away goals
1.307
Ajax attack strength
1.059
Ajax defence strength
0.958
Utrecht attack strength
1.070
Utrecht defence strength
1.036
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
68 / 68