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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
44%
2.27
26%
3.87
30%
3.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.1%
Home win
1 – 0
7.5%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.74
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.14
1.41
Twente xG
AjaxDrawTwente
2.27
44%
Home win
3.87
26%
Draw
3.33
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.58
37%
BTTS No
2.74
Clean Sheet
24%
4.09
18%
5.67
Win to Nil
11%
9.28
5%
18.86
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 10.5 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.1 | 6.4 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 5.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.735
λ Away (xG)
1.408
Total xG
3.143
League avg home goals
1.601
League avg away goals
1.326
Ajax attack strength
1.132
Ajax defence strength
0.980
Twente attack strength
1.084
Twente defence strength
0.957
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67