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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
62%
1.60
25%
4.06
13%
7.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
15.0%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
13.4%
Home win
1 – 1
10.4%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.77
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.47
0.69
NEC Nijmegen xG
AjaxDrawNEC Nijmegen
1.60
62%
Home win
4.06
25%
Draw
7.68
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.35
57%
BTTS No
1.74
Clean Sheet
50%
2.00
17%
5.90
Win to Nil
31%
3.21
2%
45.32
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 5.9 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 15.0 | 10.4 | 3.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.4 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 3.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.775
λ Away (xG)
0.693
Total xG
2.468
League avg home goals
1.608
League avg away goals
1.329
Ajax attack strength
1.250
Ajax defence strength
0.806
NEC Nijmegen attack strength
0.647
NEC Nijmegen defence strength
0.883
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 65