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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
66%
1.51
20%
5.05
14%
7.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
11.2%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.08
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.93
0.84
NAC Breda xG
AjaxDrawNAC Breda
1.51
66%
Home win
5.05
20%
Draw
7.06
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
79%
Over 1.5
1.27
21%
Under 1.5
4.76
56%
Over 2.5
1.79
44%
Under 2.5
2.27
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
17%
Over 4.5
5.88
83%
Under 4.5
1.20
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
43%
2.33
12%
8.03
Win to Nil
28%
3.52
2%
56.70
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 11.2 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.6 | 9.8 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 8.1 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.083
λ Away (xG)
0.844
Total xG
2.927
League avg home goals
1.662
League avg away goals
1.452
Ajax attack strength
1.151
Ajax defence strength
0.752
NAC Breda attack strength
0.774
NAC Breda defence strength
1.089
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
40 / 40