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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
66%
1.51
21%
4.84
13%
7.66
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
10.1%
Home win
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.19
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.08
0.89
Heracles xG
AjaxDrawHeracles
1.51
66%
Home win
4.84
21%
Draw
7.66
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
59%
Over 2.5
1.69
41%
Under 2.5
2.44
37%
Over 3.5
2.70
63%
Under 3.5
1.59
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
53%
BTTS Yes
1.88
47%
BTTS No
2.13
Clean Sheet
41%
2.43
11%
8.96
Win to Nil
27%
3.66
1%
68.62
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 10.1 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.8 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.1 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.4 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.193
λ Away (xG)
0.887
Total xG
3.080
League avg home goals
1.779
League avg away goals
1.326
Ajax attack strength
1.030
Ajax defence strength
0.836
Heracles attack strength
0.800
Heracles defence strength
1.196
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
36 / 36