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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
69%
1.45
19%
5.40
12%
8.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.1%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
9.8%
Home win
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.28
Ajax xG
Total xG
3.15
0.87
Heracles xG
AjaxDrawHeracles
1.45
69%
Home win
5.40
19%
Draw
8.01
12%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.91
48%
BTTS No
2.10
Clean Sheet
42%
2.38
10%
9.81
Win to Nil
29%
3.46
1%
78.51
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.8 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.1 | 9.7 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | – |
| 3 | 8.5 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.283
λ Away (xG)
0.869
Total xG
3.152
League avg home goals
1.665
League avg away goals
1.356
Ajax attack strength
1.233
Ajax defence strength
0.779
Heracles attack strength
0.822
Heracles defence strength
1.113
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
55 / 56