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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
41%
2.46
25%
3.94
34%
2.94
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
9.2%
Home win
2 – 1
8.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.45
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.76
1.31
Groningen xG
AjaxDrawGroningen
2.46
41%
Home win
3.94
25%
Draw
2.94
34%
Away win
Goals Markets
76%
Over 1.5
1.32
24%
Under 1.5
4.17
52%
Over 2.5
1.92
48%
Under 2.5
2.08
30%
Over 3.5
3.33
70%
Under 3.5
1.43
15%
Over 4.5
6.67
85%
Under 4.5
1.18
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.27
Clean Sheet
27%
3.70
23%
4.28
Win to Nil
11%
9.12
8%
12.59
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.3 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.0 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.7 | 8.7 | 5.7 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.2 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.454
λ Away (xG)
1.309
Total xG
2.763
League avg home goals
1.729
League avg away goals
1.425
Ajax attack strength
0.854
Ajax defence strength
0.980
Groningen attack strength
0.938
Groningen defence strength
0.984
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
47 / 47