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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
61%
1.63
21%
4.74
18%
5.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
10.2%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
10.2%
Home win
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.00
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.97
0.97
Excelsior xG
AjaxDrawExcelsior
1.63
61%
Home win
4.74
21%
Draw
5.65
18%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.16
Clean Sheet
38%
2.65
14%
7.40
Win to Nil
23%
4.32
2%
41.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 10.0 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.8 | 6.6 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | – |
| 4 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.001
λ Away (xG)
0.973
Total xG
2.974
League avg home goals
1.731
League avg away goals
1.458
Ajax attack strength
0.919
Ajax defence strength
0.874
Excelsior attack strength
0.764
Excelsior defence strength
1.258
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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