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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Ajax Win
75%
1.34
17%
5.94
8%
11.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
14.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
13.1%
Home win
3 – 0
10.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.23
Ajax xG
Total xG
2.83
0.60
Almere City FC xG
AjaxDrawAlmere City FC
1.34
75%
Home win
5.94
17%
Draw
11.83
8%
Away win
Goals Markets
77%
Over 1.5
1.30
23%
Under 1.5
4.35
54%
Over 2.5
1.85
46%
Under 2.5
2.17
32%
Over 3.5
3.12
68%
Under 3.5
1.47
16%
Over 4.5
6.25
84%
Under 4.5
1.19
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.48
60%
BTTS No
1.68
Clean Sheet
55%
1.82
11%
9.33
Win to Nil
41%
2.44
1%
110.39
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 14.7 | 8.8 | 2.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 10.9 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.233
λ Away (xG)
0.601
Total xG
2.834
League avg home goals
1.706
League avg away goals
1.295
Ajax attack strength
1.250
Ajax defence strength
0.819
Almere City FC attack strength
0.566
Almere City FC defence strength
1.047
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49