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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 23 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

33%

Willem II

3.05

29%

Draw

3.40

38%

VVV Venlo

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.32

1.21

VVV Venlo xG

33%
29%
38%
Willem IIDrawVVV Venlo

3.05

33%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

30%

Willem II

3.35

33%

VVV Venlo

3.03

Win to Nil

10%

Willem II

10.19

12%

VVV Venlo

8.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.9 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.9 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.3 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.2 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.108
λ Away (xG) 1.208
Total xG 2.316
League avg home goals 1.736
League avg away goals 1.540
Willem II attack strength 0.722
Willem II defence strength 0.877
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.895
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60