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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Fri 3 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

30%

Willem II

3.30

28%

Draw

3.58

42%

Roda

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.04

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.32

1.28

Roda xG

30%
28%
42%
Willem IIDrawRoda

3.30

30%

Home win

3.58

28%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

28%

Willem II

3.59

35%

Roda

2.84

Win to Nil

8%

Willem II

11.87

15%

Roda

6.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 12.5 8.0 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.2 13.1 8.4 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 5.3 6.8 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.2
3 1.9 2.4 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.044
λ Away (xG) 1.279
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.733
League avg away goals 1.392
Willem II attack strength 0.660
Willem II defence strength 0.852
Roda attack strength 1.078
Roda defence strength 0.912
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 47