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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Fri 29 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Willem II Win

44%

Willem II

2.25

27%

Draw

3.69

28%

Jong Utrecht

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

Willem II xG

Total xG

2.41

1.04

Jong Utrecht xG

44%
27%
28%
Willem IIDrawJong Utrecht

2.25

44%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

35%

Willem II

2.83

25%

Jong Utrecht

3.95

Win to Nil

16%

Willem II

6.37

7%

Jong Utrecht

13.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.3 4.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 12.3 12.8 6.7 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.4 8.8 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.9 4.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.373
λ Away (xG) 1.041
Total xG 2.414
League avg home goals 1.681
League avg away goals 1.269
Willem II attack strength 0.695
Willem II defence strength 1.079
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.760
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.175
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 3 / 41