Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Koning Willem II Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Ajax Win

38%

Willem II

2.62

23%

Draw

4.29

38%

Jong Ajax

2.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.3%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Willem II xG

Total xG

3.23

1.62

Jong Ajax xG

38%
23%
38%
Willem IIDrawJong Ajax

2.62

38%

Home win

4.29

23%

Draw

2.60

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.56

36%

BTTS No

2.79

Clean Sheet

20%

Willem II

5.04

20%

Jong Ajax

5.01

Win to Nil

8%

Willem II

13.19

8%

Jong Ajax

13.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 6.4 5.2 2.8 1.1 0.4
1 6.4 10.3 8.3 4.5 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.3 6.7 3.6 1.5 0.5
3 2.8 4.5 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3
4 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.611
λ Away (xG) 1.617
Total xG 3.228
League avg home goals 1.701
League avg away goals 1.279
Willem II attack strength 0.744
Willem II defence strength 1.121
Jong Ajax attack strength 1.129
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.274
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 6 / 44