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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Tue 16 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

57%

Waalwijk

1.75

22%

Draw

4.46

20%

Vitesse

4.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.87

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

2.90

1.02

Vitesse xG

57%
22%
20%
WaalwijkDrawVitesse

1.75

57%

Home win

4.46

22%

Draw

4.91

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

36%

Waalwijk

2.78

15%

Vitesse

6.50

Win to Nil

21%

Waalwijk

4.86

3%

Vitesse

31.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 5.7 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.4 10.6 5.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.0 6.2 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.872
λ Away (xG) 1.023
Total xG 2.895
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.244
Waalwijk attack strength 0.856
Waalwijk defence strength 0.953
Vitesse attack strength 0.863
Vitesse defence strength 1.279
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 39