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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

45%

Waalwijk

2.25

24%

Draw

4.19

32%

Helmond Sport

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.04

1.37

Helmond Sport xG

45%
24%
32%
WaalwijkDrawHelmond Sport

2.25

45%

Home win

4.19

24%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.65

40%

BTTS No

2.53

Clean Sheet

25%

Waalwijk

3.94

19%

Helmond Sport

5.29

Win to Nil

11%

Waalwijk

8.84

6%

Helmond Sport

16.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.6 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.0 11.0 7.5 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.7 9.1 6.3 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 3.7 5.1 3.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.665
λ Away (xG) 1.370
Total xG 3.035
League avg home goals 1.856
League avg away goals 1.265
Waalwijk attack strength 0.857
Waalwijk defence strength 1.150
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.942
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.047
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 1 / 39