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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 18 Jan 2026

13:30

Venue

Mandemakers Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Waalwijk Win

40%

Waalwijk

2.53

24%

Draw

4.10

36%

Dordrecht

2.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

8.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Waalwijk xG

Total xG

3.02

1.47

Dordrecht xG

40%
24%
36%
WaalwijkDrawDordrecht

2.53

40%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

2.78

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

23%

Waalwijk

4.34

21%

Dordrecht

4.71

Win to Nil

9%

Waalwijk

10.98

8%

Dordrecht

13.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 7.2 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.3
1 7.6 11.1 8.2 4.0 1.5 0.4
2 5.9 8.6 6.3 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.0 4.5 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.2 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.550
λ Away (xG) 1.469
Total xG 3.019
League avg home goals 1.731
League avg away goals 1.544
Waalwijk attack strength 0.884
Waalwijk defence strength 1.159
Dordrecht attack strength 0.821
Dordrecht defence strength 1.013
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 59