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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

51%

VVV Venlo

1.94

24%

Draw

4.21

25%

Willem II

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.85

1.12

Willem II xG

51%
24%
25%
VVV VenloDrawWillem II

1.94

51%

Home win

4.21

24%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

32%

VVV Venlo

3.08

18%

Willem II

5.62

Win to Nil

17%

VVV Venlo

5.99

4%

Willem II

22.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.5 3.7 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.0 11.2 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.6 9.7 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 1.125
Total xG 2.852
League avg home goals 1.721
League avg away goals 1.468
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.844
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.880
Willem II attack strength 0.871
Willem II defence strength 1.188
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 16