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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 17 Jan 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

38%

VVV Venlo

2.64

29%

Draw

3.51

34%

Telstar

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.63

1.27

Telstar xG

38%
29%
34%
VVV VenloDrawTelstar

2.64

38%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

28%

VVV Venlo

3.56

26%

Telstar

3.90

Win to Nil

11%

VVV Venlo

9.40

9%

Telstar

11.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 9.1 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.8 12.4 7.9 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.362
λ Away (xG) 1.270
Total xG 2.632
League avg home goals 1.545
League avg away goals 1.399
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.706
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.031
Telstar attack strength 0.880
Telstar defence strength 1.249
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59