Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

15:45

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

53%

VVV Venlo

1.89

25%

Draw

4.00

22%

MVV

4.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.54

0.94

MVV xG

53%
25%
22%
VVV VenloDrawMVV

1.89

53%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

4.53

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

39%

VVV Venlo

2.55

20%

MVV

4.96

Win to Nil

21%

VVV Venlo

4.82

4%

MVV

22.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 7.4 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 12.7 11.9 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.5 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.4 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.601
λ Away (xG) 0.937
Total xG 2.538
League avg home goals 1.717
League avg away goals 1.304
VVV Venlo attack strength 1.010
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.068
MVV attack strength 0.673
MVV defence strength 0.923
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44