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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

11:15

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

39%

VVV Venlo

2.59

28%

Draw

3.57

33%

MVV

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.40

1.15

MVV xG

39%
28%
33%
VVV VenloDrawMVV

2.59

39%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

32%

VVV Venlo

3.16

29%

MVV

3.50

Win to Nil

12%

VVV Venlo

8.18

10%

MVV

10.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 10.4 6.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.3 13.0 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.1 8.2 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.0 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.254
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.403
League avg home goals 1.643
League avg away goals 1.290
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.668
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.984
MVV attack strength 0.905
MVV defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62