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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

71%

VVV Venlo

1.42

18%

Draw

5.43

11%

Jong Utrecht

9.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

3 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.15

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.86

0.71

Jong Utrecht xG

71%
18%
VVV VenloDrawJong Utrecht

1.42

71%

Home win

5.43

18%

Draw

9.11

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

49%

VVV Venlo

2.03

12%

Jong Utrecht

8.59

Win to Nil

35%

VVV Venlo

2.88

1%

Jong Utrecht

78.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.1 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 12.3 8.7 3.1 0.7 0.1
2 13.2 9.4 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 9.5 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
4 5.1 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
5 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.151
λ Away (xG) 0.710
Total xG 2.861
League avg home goals 1.827
League avg away goals 1.372
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.931
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.842
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.615
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.265
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49