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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Tue 17 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Seacon - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

39%

VVV Venlo

2.55

27%

Draw

3.70

34%

Jong Ajax

2.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.48

1.18

Jong Ajax xG

39%
27%
34%
VVV VenloDrawJong Ajax

2.55

39%

Home win

3.70

27%

Draw

2.96

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.98

50%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

31%

VVV Venlo

3.27

27%

Jong Ajax

3.66

Win to Nil

12%

VVV Venlo

8.33

9%

Jong Ajax

10.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 9.9 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 4.9 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.6 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.298
λ Away (xG) 1.184
Total xG 2.482
League avg home goals 1.565
League avg away goals 1.445
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.768
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.088
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.753
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.080
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69