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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

36%

VVV Venlo

2.75

31%

Draw

3.24

33%

Jong Ajax

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.5%

Home win

0 – 1

11.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.21

1.07

Jong Ajax xG

36%
31%
33%
VVV VenloDrawJong Ajax

2.75

36%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

34%

VVV Venlo

2.91

32%

Jong Ajax

3.12

Win to Nil

12%

VVV Venlo

8.02

10%

Jong Ajax

9.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 11.8 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.5 13.4 7.2 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.1 7.6 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.139
λ Away (xG) 1.069
Total xG 2.208
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.298
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.633
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.016
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.811
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.107
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 66