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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

15:30

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

49%

VVV Venlo

2.04

25%

Draw

4.07

26%

Helmond Sport

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.76

1.13

Helmond Sport xG

49%
25%
26%
VVV VenloDrawHelmond Sport

2.04

49%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

32%

VVV Venlo

3.09

20%

Helmond Sport

5.10

Win to Nil

16%

VVV Venlo

6.31

5%

Helmond Sport

19.32

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 7.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 10.3 11.7 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.5 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 4.6 5.2 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.629
λ Away (xG) 1.128
Total xG 2.757
League avg home goals 1.683
League avg away goals 1.250
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.984
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.092
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.827
Helmond Sport defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42