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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

15:45

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel -

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

40%

VVV Venlo

2.47

26%

Draw

3.82

33%

Helmond Sport

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.71

1.28

Helmond Sport xG

40%
26%
33%
VVV VenloDrawHelmond Sport

2.47

40%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

28%

VVV Venlo

3.59

24%

Helmond Sport

4.19

Win to Nil

11%

VVV Venlo

8.86

8%

Helmond Sport

12.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.5 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 9.5 12.2 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.8 8.7 5.6 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 3.3 4.2 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.432
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 2.709
League avg home goals 1.656
League avg away goals 1.249
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.717
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.995
Helmond Sport attack strength 1.027
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.206
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71