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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 17 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

47%

VVV Venlo

2.14

25%

Draw

4.03

28%

Emmen

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

2.78

1.19

Emmen xG

47%
25%
28%
VVV VenloDrawEmmen

2.14

47%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

31%

VVV Venlo

3.28

20%

Emmen

4.90

Win to Nil

14%

VVV Venlo

7.02

6%

Emmen

17.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.4 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 9.9 11.7 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.9 9.3 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 4.2 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.590
λ Away (xG) 1.187
Total xG 2.777
League avg home goals 1.759
League avg away goals 1.403
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.829
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.914
Emmen attack strength 0.926
Emmen defence strength 1.090
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 49