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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Covebo Stadion - De Koel

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

55%

VVV Venlo

1.83

21%

Draw

4.76

24%

Den Bosch

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

7.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

VVV Venlo xG

Total xG

3.45

1.35

Den Bosch xG

55%
21%
24%
VVV VenloDrawDen Bosch

1.83

55%

Home win

4.76

21%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

26%

VVV Venlo

3.88

12%

Den Bosch

8.14

Win to Nil

14%

VVV Venlo

7.11

3%

Den Bosch

33.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 6.6 9.0 6.1 2.8 0.9 0.3
2 7.0 9.4 6.4 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 4.9 6.6 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.6 3.5 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.097
λ Away (xG) 1.355
Total xG 3.452
League avg home goals 1.769
League avg away goals 1.390
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.939
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.934
Den Bosch attack strength 1.043
Den Bosch defence strength 1.262
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 45