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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

15:45

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VVV Venlo Win

30%

Vitesse

3.29

24%

Draw

4.09

45%

VVV Venlo

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Vitesse xG

Total xG

3.32

1.84

VVV Venlo xG

30%
24%
45%
VitesseDrawVVV Venlo

3.29

30%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.94

Clean Sheet

16%

Vitesse

6.29

23%

VVV Venlo

4.41

Win to Nil

5%

Vitesse

20.73

10%

VVV Venlo

9.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 6.6 6.1 3.7 1.7 0.6
1 5.3 9.8 9.0 5.5 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.3 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.7
3 2.0 3.6 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.484
λ Away (xG) 1.839
Total xG 3.323
League avg home goals 1.551
League avg away goals 1.384
Vitesse attack strength 0.802
Vitesse defence strength 1.369
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.970
VVV Venlo defence strength 1.192
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 58