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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

15:30

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

37%

Vitesse

2.73

27%

Draw

3.73

37%

MVV

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

8.7%

Away win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Vitesse xG

Total xG

2.77

1.38

MVV xG

37%
27%
37%
VitesseDrawMVV

2.73

37%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

25%

Vitesse

3.98

25%

MVV

3.99

Win to Nil

9%

Vitesse

10.84

9%

MVV

10.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 8.7 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.7 12.0 8.3 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.0 8.3 5.8 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.8 3.8 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.385
λ Away (xG) 1.381
Total xG 2.766
League avg home goals 1.652
League avg away goals 1.297
Vitesse attack strength 0.784
Vitesse defence strength 1.316
MVV attack strength 0.810
MVV defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65