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Vitesse vs Jong Utrecht – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

27%

Vitesse

3.77

28%

Draw

3.62

46%

Jong Utrecht

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Vitesse xG

Total xG

2.80

1.61

Jong Utrecht xG

27%
28%
46%
VitesseDrawJong Utrecht

3.77

27%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

20%

Vitesse

5.02

31%

Jong Utrecht

3.28

Win to Nil

5%

Vitesse

18.92

14%

Jong Utrecht

7.16

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.8 7.9 4.3 1.7 0.6
1 7.2 11.6 9.4 5.1 2.0 0.7
2 4.3 6.9 5.6 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 1.7 2.7 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.187
λ Away (xG) 1.614
Total xG 2.801
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.406
Vitesse attack strength 0.747
Vitesse defence strength 1.414
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.812
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.030
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 18 / 56