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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

GelreDome

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

54%

Vitesse

1.86

24%

Draw

4.22

23%

Helmond Sport

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.74

Vitesse xG

Total xG

2.77

1.04

Helmond Sport xG

54%
24%
23%
VitesseDrawHelmond Sport

1.86

54%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

35%

Vitesse

2.82

18%

Helmond Sport

5.67

Win to Nil

19%

Vitesse

5.24

4%

Helmond Sport

25.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.5 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.9 11.3 5.8 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.8 5.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.735
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.771
League avg home goals 1.699
League avg away goals 1.305
Vitesse attack strength 1.002
Vitesse defence strength 0.989
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.803
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 44