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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

54%

Roda

1.85

26%

Draw

3.87

20%

Jong PSV U21

4.96

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Roda xG

Total xG

2.61

0.94

Jong PSV U21 xG

54%
26%
20%
RodaDrawJong PSV U21

1.85

54%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

4.96

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

39%

Roda

2.55

19%

Jong PSV U21

5.34

Win to Nil

21%

Roda

4.72

4%

Jong PSV U21

26.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
1 12.3 11.5 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.6 4.5 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.8 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.676
λ Away (xG) 0.936
Total xG 2.612
League avg home goals 1.627
League avg away goals 1.298
Roda attack strength 0.904
Roda defence strength 0.815
Jong PSV U21 attack strength 0.884
Jong PSV U21 defence strength 1.140
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65