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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Parkstad Limburg Stadion

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Roda Win

55%

Roda

1.80

24%

Draw

4.14

20%

Helmond Sport

4.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Roda xG

Total xG

2.68

0.95

Helmond Sport xG

55%
24%
20%
RodaDrawHelmond Sport

1.80

55%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

4.91

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

39%

Roda

2.59

18%

Helmond Sport

5.63

Win to Nil

21%

Roda

4.67

4%

Helmond Sport

27.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 6.5 3.1 1.0 0.2
1 11.9 11.3 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.7 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1
3 5.9 5.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 2.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.728
λ Away (xG) 0.951
Total xG 2.679
League avg home goals 1.663
League avg away goals 1.280
Roda attack strength 0.901
Roda defence strength 0.828
Helmond Sport attack strength 0.897
Helmond Sport defence strength 1.153
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67