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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 13 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

42%

MVV

2.37

25%

Draw

4.06

33%

VVV Venlo

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.70

MVV xG

Total xG

3.18

1.48

VVV Venlo xG

42%
25%
33%
MVVDrawVVV Venlo

2.37

42%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

23%

MVV

4.40

18%

VVV Venlo

5.45

Win to Nil

10%

MVV

10.42

6%

VVV Venlo

16.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 6.2 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 7.1 10.5 7.8 3.8 1.4 0.4
2 6.0 8.9 6.6 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.4 5.0 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 2.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.696
λ Away (xG) 1.482
Total xG 3.178
League avg home goals 1.620
League avg away goals 1.476
MVV attack strength 1.053
MVV defence strength 1.074
VVV Venlo attack strength 0.935
VVV Venlo defence strength 0.994
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68