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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitesse Win

31%

MVV

3.23

23%

Draw

4.42

46%

Vitesse

2.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

2 – 1

7.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

MVV xG

Total xG

3.30

1.83

Vitesse xG

31%
23%
46%
MVVDrawVitesse

3.23

31%

Home win

4.42

23%

Draw

2.15

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.55

35%

BTTS No

2.82

Clean Sheet

16%

MVV

6.25

23%

Vitesse

4.32

Win to Nil

5%

MVV

20.22

11%

Vitesse

9.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 6.8 6.2 3.8 1.7 0.6
1 5.4 9.9 9.1 5.6 2.5 0.9
2 4.0 7.3 6.7 4.1 1.9 0.7
3 1.9 3.5 3.3 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.7 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.464
λ Away (xG) 1.833
Total xG 3.297
League avg home goals 1.827
League avg away goals 1.372
MVV attack strength 0.827
MVV defence strength 1.057
Vitesse attack strength 1.264
Vitesse defence strength 0.968
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 47