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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 12 Dec 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

50%

MVV

2.00

22%

Draw

4.48

28%

Jong Ajax

3.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

6.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.01

MVV xG

Total xG

3.46

1.45

Jong Ajax xG

50%
22%
28%
MVVDrawJong Ajax

2.00

50%

Home win

4.48

22%

Draw

3.63

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

23%

MVV

4.28

13%

Jong Ajax

7.43

Win to Nil

12%

MVV

8.55

4%

Jong Ajax

26.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.6 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
1 6.3 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
2 6.3 9.2 6.7 3.2 1.2 0.3
3 4.2 6.1 4.5 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.1 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.006
λ Away (xG) 1.454
Total xG 3.460
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.444
MVV attack strength 0.930
MVV defence strength 1.106
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.911
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.259
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57