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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
MVV Win
66%
1.52
20%
4.91
14%
7.33
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.21
MVV xG
Total xG
3.13
0.92
Jong Ajax xG
MVVDrawJong Ajax
1.52
66%
Home win
4.91
20%
Draw
7.33
14%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.85
46%
BTTS No
2.18
Clean Sheet
40%
2.50
11%
9.12
Win to Nil
26%
3.79
1%
66.83
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.7 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.7 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.9 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.210
λ Away (xG)
0.918
Total xG
3.128
League avg home goals
1.670
League avg away goals
1.241
MVV attack strength
1.184
MVV defence strength
1.032
Jong Ajax attack strength
0.717
Jong Ajax defence strength
1.118
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
74 / 74