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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
MVV Win
56%
1.78
22%
4.48
21%
4.68
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.5%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.89
MVV xG
Total xG
2.96
1.08
Helmond Sport xG
MVVDrawHelmond Sport
1.78
56%
Home win
4.48
22%
Draw
4.68
21%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
34%
Over 3.5
2.94
66%
Under 3.5
1.52
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.79
44%
BTTS No
2.27
Clean Sheet
34%
2.94
15%
6.61
Win to Nil
19%
5.21
3%
30.94
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.7 | 10.5 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.2 | 9.9 | 5.3 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 6.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.888
λ Away (xG)
1.077
Total xG
2.965
League avg home goals
1.608
League avg away goals
1.486
MVV attack strength
0.967
MVV defence strength
1.293
Helmond Sport attack strength
0.561
Helmond Sport defence strength
1.215
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
73 / 73