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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 14 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

De Geusselt

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

MVV Win

55%

MVV

1.82

20%

Draw

5.04

25%

FC Eindhoven

3.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

6.9%

Draw

2 – 2

6.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.41

MVV xG

Total xG

4.04

1.63

FC Eindhoven xG

55%
20%
25%
MVVDrawFC Eindhoven

1.82

55%

Home win

5.04

20%

Draw

3.94

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

91%

Over 1.5

1.10

9%

Under 1.5

11.11

77%

Over 2.5

1.30

23%

Under 2.5

4.35

57%

Over 3.5

1.75

43%

Under 3.5

2.33

38%

Over 4.5

2.63

62%

Under 4.5

1.61

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.36

27%

BTTS No

3.77

Clean Sheet

20%

MVV

5.10

9%

FC Eindhoven

11.15

Win to Nil

11%

MVV

9.30

2%

FC Eindhoven

43.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.8 2.9 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
1 4.2 6.9 5.6 3.1 1.2 0.4
2 5.1 8.3 6.8 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 4.1 6.7 5.5 3.0 1.2 0.4
4 2.5 4.0 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 1.2 1.9 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.411
λ Away (xG) 1.629
Total xG 4.040
League avg home goals 1.680
League avg away goals 1.276
MVV attack strength 1.363
MVV defence strength 0.972
FC Eindhoven attack strength 1.314
FC Eindhoven defence strength 1.053
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63