Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 12 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

54%

Jong Utrecht

1.87

21%

Draw

4.78

26%

Waalwijk

3.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 2

6.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.53

1.42

Waalwijk xG

54%
21%
26%
Jong UtrechtDrawWaalwijk

1.87

54%

Home win

4.78

21%

Draw

3.91

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.00

Clean Sheet

24%

Jong Utrecht

4.13

12%

Waalwijk

8.28

Win to Nil

13%

Jong Utrecht

7.71

3%

Waalwijk

32.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 4.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.2 8.8 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 6.5 9.3 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 4.6 6.5 4.6 2.2 0.8 0.2
4 2.4 3.5 2.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.114
λ Away (xG) 1.418
Total xG 3.532
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.221
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.147
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.256
Waalwijk attack strength 0.924
Waalwijk defence strength 1.114
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4