Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Mon 10 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stadion Galgenwaard

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

39%

Jong Utrecht

2.55

22%

Draw

4.53

39%

Vitesse

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

7.8%

Away win

2 – 1

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.71

1.85

Vitesse xG

39%
22%
39%
Jong UtrechtDrawVitesse

2.55

39%

Home win

4.53

22%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

51%

Over 3.5

1.96

49%

Under 3.5

2.04

31%

Over 4.5

3.23

69%

Under 4.5

1.45

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.40

29%

BTTS No

3.50

Clean Sheet

16%

Jong Utrecht

6.35

16%

Vitesse

6.43

Win to Nil

6%

Jong Utrecht

16.18

6%

Vitesse

16.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5 4.5 4.2 2.6 1.2 0.4
1 4.6 8.4 7.8 4.8 2.2 0.8
2 4.2 7.8 7.2 4.5 2.1 0.8
3 2.6 4.9 4.5 2.8 1.3 0.5
4 1.2 2.3 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.861
λ Away (xG) 1.848
Total xG 3.709
League avg home goals 1.665
League avg away goals 1.281
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.751
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.318
Vitesse attack strength 1.095
Vitesse defence strength 1.489
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 29