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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Tue 30 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

45%

Jong Utrecht

2.24

21%

Draw

4.79

34%

Jong AZ

2.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

7.7%

Draw

2 – 2

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.08

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

3.89

1.81

Jong AZ xG

45%
21%
34%
Jong UtrechtDrawJong AZ

2.24

45%

Home win

4.79

21%

Draw

2.90

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.73

Clean Sheet

16%

Jong Utrecht

6.13

13%

Jong AZ

7.96

Win to Nil

7%

Jong Utrecht

13.73

4%

Jong AZ

23.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 3.7 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
1 4.2 7.7 7.0 4.2 1.9 0.7
2 4.4 8.0 7.2 4.4 2.0 0.7
3 3.0 5.5 5.0 3.0 1.4 0.5
4 1.6 2.9 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.3
5 0.7 1.2 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.075
λ Away (xG) 1.814
Total xG 3.889
League avg home goals 1.769
League avg away goals 1.390
Jong Utrecht attack strength 1.153
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.243
Jong AZ attack strength 1.050
Jong AZ defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46