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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Mon 25 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

51%

Jong Utrecht

1.96

25%

Draw

3.99

24%

Jong Ajax

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.60

1.01

Jong Ajax xG

51%
25%
24%
Jong UtrechtDrawJong Ajax

1.96

51%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

37%

Jong Utrecht

2.73

20%

Jong Ajax

4.92

Win to Nil

19%

Jong Utrecht

5.36

5%

Jong Ajax

20.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 7.5 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.8 11.9 6.0 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.5 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.0 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 2.0 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.593
λ Away (xG) 1.006
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.669
League avg away goals 1.245
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.949
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.084
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.745
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.006
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40