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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eerste Divisie · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:00

Venue

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Competition

Eerste Divisie

Netherlands

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Jong Utrecht Win

41%

Jong Utrecht

2.41

27%

Draw

3.69

31%

Jong Ajax

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Jong Utrecht xG

Total xG

2.70

1.24

Jong Ajax xG

41%
27%
31%
Jong UtrechtDrawJong Ajax

2.41

41%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

29%

Jong Utrecht

3.46

23%

Jong Ajax

4.29

Win to Nil

12%

Jong Utrecht

8.34

7%

Jong Ajax

13.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.4 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.8 12.2 7.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
2 7.2 8.9 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.5 4.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.456
λ Away (xG) 1.240
Total xG 2.696
League avg home goals 1.621
League avg away goals 1.308
Jong Utrecht attack strength 0.789
Jong Utrecht defence strength 1.260
Jong Ajax attack strength 0.753
Jong Ajax defence strength 1.139
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 64